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About Herodotus

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  1. Yes. Danny Ainge's trick was flipping his assets before their expiration date. He's still doing it, actually. Statistically, it IS sound. It's all based on probabilities. The probabilities don't guarantee any equitable outcome in a single year, and small sample sizes tend to have great variance (and the entire history of the lottery still counts as a small sample size), but over time the outcomes trend towards the beginning odds. The John Hollinger and Chris Wallace argument that tanking wouldn't necessarily work out for the team is an attempt to say what I just said about the probabilities. But, their interpretation of the probabilities seems to be skewed. They seem to be trying to suggest that if you end up with a bottom-3 record, in any single lottery year you could still end up with the fifth or sixth pick (and there is no chance of finishing seventh or lower), so therefore it's not worth even trying. But, as Hollinger at least surely knows, the PROBABILITY of that worst case scenario happening is slim, if indeed that is their argument. You can't protest the lottery system and ever hope to beat the system. After all, the probabilities are against it.
  2. Herodotus

    David Fizdale Fired.

    Because, if you go back to your original post that I was responding to, you specifically stated, "when it came to giving much less than 100% effort - Gasol was the biggest offender." That was undeservedly singling Gasol out for criticism on an issue on which it is obvious that Tony Allen and Zach Randolph had their own issues as well. From there you went on to list off assumptions about Gasol, which may or may not be true, and as a result, have reached what look like all kinds of essentially erroneous conclusions about the man and the player. There's a distinction between observation and assumption.
  3. Herodotus

    David Fizdale Fired.

    This is such misplaced insult to a person who has given everything to this franchise. I cannot continue to read this drivel and say nothing. Tony Allen checked out, pouted, made improper public comments, and was belligerent when he wasn't getting his way. Zach Randolph stat-padded, ball-hogged, and refused to admit his limitations on defense could be hurting the team in certain matchups and to put the team first. You have no idea what Marc Gasol wants, thinks, or feels. Have you talked to him? Have you talked to his coaches, teammates, or friends? Of course, I know you have not, so the question is intended to point out the obvious. Instead, you're just making assumption after negative-and-almost-certainly-false assumption. I find that astonishing, given, not only everything that Marc has accomplished and has meant to this city and franchise, but especially since Marc gave an interview just after the Fizdale firing in which he said, pretty much word for word, that people are making things up about him that are untrue, but that he knows he can't really control that, and all he can control is what he does on the court. You are part of what he was talking about. And you need to stop it. Gasol is not a perfect player (although he's a pretty **** good one), but there should be no assassinating of the guy's character unfairly. This is just utter nonsense. It really needs to stop.
  4. Herodotus

    Memphis @ Houston 11/11/17

    7:05 left in the third. The starters' plus-minus is horrid. Conley is an incredible -22. Gasol is -17.
  5. Herodotus

    Memphis @ Houston 11/11/17

    We know Conley is not 100% healthy. It's fine to be concerned, but everyone needs to relax with the exaggerated, freaking-all-the-way-out pronouncements.
  6. Herodotus

    Memphis @ Houston 11/11/17

    This is one reason why I believe this game is going to be competitive to the end.
  7. Herodotus

    Memphis @ Portland 11/07/17

    What in the world is wrong with Mario Chalmers? He has a play every game where it looks like he is on the take and intentionally shaving points. That one at the end of the first quarter was absolutely unbelievable.
  8. Herodotus

    With the #35 pick, Memphis Selects Ivan Rabb

    He appears to be one of those guys who knows how to play basketball the right way, in a way in which the scouting reports don't really pick up on. He's not very athletic for the position, but the theory that rebounding is a skill seems to be playing out with him. Rabb has a real nose for the ball, and weirdly long arms and mitts for hands that just grab everything. And he doesn't need a ton of space in the paint and around the rim to flick, float, or tap something in. His jumpshot also looks to be much, much better than advertised. I do still kind of think that the scouting report on him might still be accurate in that it's not exactly clear what his role is on an NBA roster. Rabb seems to be at his best on the offensive end, but he may not be good enough offensively to get the first or second touches. And his defense might be suspect, as he doesn't appear to get much lift off of the ground. I think in today's NBA, he can definitely play small ball center. But, he still has to prove that he's not going to give up too much on the defensive end.
  9. Herodotus

    Memphis @ Los Angeles Lakers 11/05/17

    Below-average game from Gasol, who looked exhausted on a back-to-back. His conditioning has been an issue all season. I don't know exactly what Fizz is supposed to do about this. Maybe he is hoping Gasol will play his way into better shape. But, I think if and when we get JaMychal back and we've got more depth in the post, Fizz has to figure out how to keep Gasol's legs fresher, particularly on a back-to-back. I thought our interior defense was so weak in large part because Gasol just didn't seem to have fresh legs. The Lakers at several points were playing Julius Randle as their backup center. With more and more teams doing this, I think there is a real opportunity to work JaMychal in as a backup center for at least a few minutes per game, if need be. Or, Fizz could just play Wright a few more minutes. Or, Fizz could experiment with Deyonta Davis. But, it seems to me that Gasol needs to play shorter stretches at a time, and needs his total minutes played to come down a bit. Lack of fresh legs was so obvious with Gasol, I'm inclined to wonder whether it also was a factor in our wings, like Ennis, just getting beat off of the dribble repeatedly. That's not something you see often. That said, it's impossible not to criticize Bickerstaff and Fizdale for not recognizing that the team was coming off of a back-to-back, in a typical letdown game scenario against a young sub-.500 team, and not making sure that the team was drilled on the proper game plan going in, in such a way that we gave ourselves the best opportunity to win. I'm noticing this as an emerging pattern, which is concerning. In the first half we chased guys around the top of screens who we should have been daring to take jumpers. So, just like in the Dallas game, our defense, by game plan design, handed the other team what they wanted to do on a platter, instead of taking away their strength and forcing them into something else. We should have switched everything, like Bickerstaff's defense was supposedly designed to do, and/or just gone under all of the screens, and dared the Lakers to shoot threes all night. That would have saved our legs and made the Lakers play to their weakness. It's so aggravating to watch us make the game harder on ourselves than it needs to be. But, just like the Dallas game, we lowered our chances through our own defensive scheming, or lack thereof. That said, we're really struggling right now with depth. Jarrell Martin is struggling to contribute on both ends. Tyreke Evans looks like our best player, so there's real hope there for this team's long-term upside, but, especially on a back-to-back, we have to get more from the rest of the roster besides Mike and Marc. We really missed Parsons on both ends of the floor. And we really could have used JaMychal Green's athleticism and defense on the interior and some fresher legs on the perimeter. Again, Selden and McLemore just can't get back soon enough. I watched McLemore in the Hustle's second game. He looked super rusty and out of shape. I hope I'm wrong, and maybe it's just a conditioning issue at this point, and his body will be able to adjust and bounce back quickly, but it doesn't look like he's very close to tip top form. He shot the ball well, and I absolutely love his mechanics, but it also just didn't look like he's ready for 30 minutes of high energy defense, court running, etc.
  10. Herodotus

    Memphis @ Los Angeles Lakers 11/05/17

    I'm starting to despise Chalmers. That flop was a total embarrassment.
  11. Herodotus

    Memphis @ Los Angeles Lakers 11/05/17

    I also think this is happening.
  12. Herodotus

    Memphis @ Los Angeles Lakers 11/05/17

    I think Chalmers is a long-term problem. He's not smart. Too many poor decisions and poor shots. Our offense ends up with far too many poor looks when Chalmers is initiating the offense. The defense is undisciplined and lackluster. That's disappointing, given our ongoing failure to get up against bad teams. Seems we have done so again. Why did the second unit spend six minutes acting likeTyreke Evans doesn't exist?
  13. Herodotus

    Memphis's future starting lineup projection thread

    It doesn't look horrible, like there's no hitch or anything. But, he shoots from the hip a little, releases it too low, and there's not much wrist. It's obviously not working. I think he needs a mechanical reboot, at least with more emphasis on his wrist and elbow, but it also might be too late for that to be successful. When he misses it almost looks like he's shot putting.
  14. Herodotus

    Memphis's future starting lineup projection thread

    We might need a Memphis Hustle thread. I watched most of the Hustle's first game. Kobi Simmons looked very good. He made some bad decisions, but his athleticism, ability to run the pick and roll, and ability to get into the paint and make a variety of plays (floater, pull-up jumper, drive and kick to either side of the court, finish at rim, draw fouls at rim) were on full display. It's obvious why Roser kept emphasizing that the front office thinks they might have found a real NBA point guard with Kobi. I am pretty sure Simmons is a better NBA point guard right now than Harrison is. Simmons is super young, and still probably makes too many mental mistakes to be relied upon in big game situations at the varsity level, but it's easy to see how good he could be if his decision-making improves. I doubt it is in the actual plans, but still, I don't think it would be out of the question that we might see Simmons take Harrison's spot on the varsity roster by the end of the NBA season, after conclusion of the G-League season. Aside from decision-making, Simmons definitely has some jumpshot issues. His mechanics are weird (shoots it from too low), and he's not hitting a high enough percentage. But, his jumper is not as broken as Harrison's, whose jumper is literally the worst ever.
  15. That sounds like it should be right, but I actually wonder if we took the time to examine it, whether Andrew Harrison would stand up to even his peers as a third-string PG. Third-string is the key qualifier, though. I'm certain he would not measure up as a second-string PG, but he almost was ours for this season, and he basically was ours last season. Here are the second- and third-string guys for the current bottom-5 in the West: Dallas: Yogi Ferrell, JJ Barea Sacramento: De'Aaron Fox, Frank Mason III LA Lakers: Tyler Ennis, no one Pelicans: Rajon Rondo (injured), Jameer Nelson Suns: Tyler Ulis, Brandon Knight (injured, out for season)