Well we could try and develop our young players into a solid core that plays well together because they know how each other play and add around that core with draft picks and FA signings. Memphis has started lineups where not one player is over 23 yrs old all season. These players are still figuring out how to play together and what they need to do to play in this league. There is no reason to give up on any of them at this time. Great teams don't make major roster moves every year to their roster. They develop players and make small incremental moves instead.
I think the Grizzlies are planning on developing their youth and that means allowing them to struggle for a while together to form a chemistry. Players will get moved from time to time and the possibility of a Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett double trade is always possible but I would be more than shocked if such a thing occured. As Mr. Heisley told me once, a player making $9 million a year would need to sell an additional 5000 tickets to justify that salary. Does that sound like the kind of attitude that would pick up 2 or 3 max deals?
I am not screaming to trade Rudy right now, which seems to be what you are interpreting. I am seeing it as a possibility in the near future.
There are a lot of ifs here. This is simply speculation, but lets look at the possibilities.
These are the possibilities as I see them.
1) The team we have right now could continue to develop to the extent that all basic needs are covered. Gasol, Milicic or Arthur could develop into that low post threat. However, looking at what I see as probable development. I see either or both Gasol and Milicic being solid 5's on a contender, playing steady offense and good defense. But Milicic is not showing the signs of developing into an offense threat to be a real post threat and Gasol's slower foot speed and lack of vertical explosion will probably keep him from attaining elite status. I still think both could be strong contributors going forward, but it doesn't look like either is likely to develop into a true post threat. Personally I see Arthur as future solid contributor off the bench. I could be wrong, but i dont see elite
desire or natural ability in him.
2) We either win the draft lottery (either through a surprising later lottery find or getting a high pick) or we win the FA lottery and are able to get that significant post threat. Both of these options are largely luck. I hope we do both and are a contender for years. However, if I was playing odds I would say they are long. Even if we get a high pick there is not guarantee the guy we get will be that impact player so it takes both the luck in getting the pick, the right guy being there, and the luck/skill in drafting the right guy. (combination of luck and skill) In FA we have the same problem. Just like the draft lottery we are in the running for a good player. It still takes luck in the right player getting loose, us being able to attract him, and the guy not turning out to be dampier. Boozer might get free from utah, we might be able to attract him, but even if both of those things happen what are the odds he injury free, motivated and productive for the years we need. Dont get me wrong that talent eval part is going to be needed at any stage, but not the luck/ opportunity involved will vary in terms of who is available and when. The point is that by taking into account the odds of the right player falling with the odds of good talent eval it lowers the chance of successful completion.
3) None of the above happens and we have to make our own luck through solid drafting (though conservative), risky trades, solid talent evaluation. We take calculated risks to get the big three in the right positions and then use draft and fa to fill in solid and possibly star role players.
Ideally we get to keep all the young talent on our roster. They all reach their max potential and we get two elite players - one from a lottery pick and another from FA. We would have a dream team for years..... but if all luck fails and we have to rely on the office's ability to make their own luck then what are the reasonable options that would most likely garner success?